Prompted by our deep fascination with tropical cyclone, my friends and I decided to write a small computer programm to could calculate and predict (base on trends and current dynamics) the intensity of a cyclone 3, 6, 12 and 24 hours out. As well as the trajectory of the storm. It was first written in BASIC way back in 1989, then evolved with C++, and now in Python.
The core module, is a 3D-multi-layer model sectioned in a grid 110x110 km based.
Equations that governs the movement of fluids, thermodynamics of gases and liquids... 3D gradient functions are used to process incoming data from air, ground, sea and space... to output 3D vectorial grid where every vector gives wind direction and velocity, and Isobars giving isometric atmospheric pressure with heights and over surface.
Improvements done over the last 7 years on our equations, computer codes and computing hardware have help us to simulate forecasted scenarioes with better accuracy. Forecast tracks and Intensity goes out up to 3 days in advance.
We are also pushing research in the direction of cyclogenesis in aim to predict the formation of cyclones before it happens.